the rating agency is concerned about the political uncertainty after the abortive coup. True, as the saying goes, one is never better served than by yourself … Recall for all purposes as of December 12, 2014, Fitch is 80% owned by the Hearst group, made up of US media .
in any case, Fitch said in a statement that the prospect of “BBB-” rating of the Turkish debt was changed from stable to negative, implying that the rating could be lowered in the coming months. “Political uncertainty will have an impact on the performance of the economy and poses risks to economic policy,” says Fitch.
This is certainly far from wrong … but resonates especially when Erdogan accused Fethullah Gulen to be behind the attempted coup d’état on 15 July and that Gülen seems to have some acquaintances – politely shall we say – with the United States and even the CIA, we will return.
apart from the attempted coup, the rating agency also believes that security conditions worsened. It thus refers to violent attacks that killed multiple victims in recent days. Revocation of senior military officials to following the aborted coup also could pose problems for establishing security. Interesting there too when we know that it is primarily blamed the soldiers to be members of the Gülen network, real state in the Turkish state, which many media compare a kind of Opus Dei in Turkish.
Fitch also indicates that the tourism sector, which accounts for 3% of gross domestic product (GDP) and 13% of external revenue, already feeling the impact of the political context. The agency expects a slowdown in Turkish growth due to lower investments and believes already that prospects for significant structural reforms, which would have changed the structure of the Turkish economic expansion declined.
the central bank will also face political pressure on monetary policy, finally added the agency expects an increase of the Turkish external debt in the coming months, passing it estimated 35% of GDP . end of 2015 to 39.3% end of 2018
But back a few moments on the Gülen network and its possible dealings with uncle Sam
-. When Barack Obama denies any involvement in the attempted coup –
of course, on July 22, US President Barack Obama said the United States was not informed and do were not involved in the coup attempt in Turkey, attacking strongly to allegations contrary to it.
“All information suggesting that we should have been informed of the coup attempt State that the United States were involved in this event, or that we are not fully supportive of Turkish democracy are completely wrong, clearly wrong “, told Barack Obama. Adding that such rumors put the Americans in danger in Turkey and threaten the alliance and the essential partnership between the United States and Turkey
– Gülen. A strong presence in the USA network via its schools –
the fact remains that as early as 2010, Sibel Edmonds Dine, former translator for the FBI before being sacked … and pitcher known warning, revealed the enormous influence of Gülen in the US through its network of madrasas presented as charter schools. Referring then a hundred schools and NGOs: “F. Gülen, whose network of organizations is estimated between 22 and 50 billion, has more than 300 madrassas in the world, including Pakistan, Central Asia and the Caucasus. “
She also noted that while suspicious madrassas were closed in Russia, Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan, the influence of Gülen has grown in the USA discreetly and without control. “In less than a decade, the Islamic Gülen network established over 100 schools under contract in 25 states. Which reinforces the suspicion is that while official data show connections between Gülen and those schools, it denies stubbornly. Why influential globalists, members of the Council of Foreign Relations, are always ready to protect and assist whether in Turkey, here in this country, or around the world? “She asked.
An article in USA Today August 17, 2010 showed meanwhile that these schools run by Turkish-American teachers, 35,000 students received and represented the largest network charter schools in the US.
Among the most influential Gülen supporters would find the New York Times and Morton Abramowitz (former US Ambassador to Turkey). It is true that it is in an interview with the New York Times that the preacher – who lives in seclusion in the United States and virtually never granted an interview – denied any involvement, even suggesting that the Turkish president could be himself the instigator.
“Gülen is a former ally of Erdogan, head of an obscure religious order which is organized in concentric circles of followers, including in particular schools, universities , media and NGOs – to as Hizmet (Service in Turkish.) – to its most visible “part specifies for its part the European Council on Foreign Relations (ECFR)
” We said that in its most prosperous years, the organization Gülen controlling nearly $ 25 billion (through a network of volunteers and businessmen) and more than a thousand schools worldwide. The Gülenistes traditionally encouraged to pursue careers in the public service and are particularly concentrated in the police, justice and intelligence services “also adds the ECFR
-. Incirlik base extremely strategic NATO in Turkey –
While according to different sources, Gülen has influential supporters, including the CIA, some media noted that the three most regiments involved in the attempted coup state in Turkey are members of NATO’s rapid reaction forces since 2003.
the European Council on Foreign Relations says for his part that “Erdogan suspects that the US has been aware or had supported the coup – on the grounds that some aircraft that participated in the coup attempt were allowed to refuel at Incirlik, a major NATO base used in the fight against Daesh “which was for several hours off the world when trying to overthrow the government and “that the US administration did not condemn the coup that night. “
also note that the Turkish commander of the Incirlik base – which also hosts the US aircraft bombarding EI in Syria – were placed behind bars for his alleged participation in the failed coup strength . RFI states that in March “already” the Pentagon ordered, “for security reasons”, the evacuation of military families and civilian personnel stationed in the south of Turkey.
It is While nuclear weapons stored in Turkey by the US military are stored at the air base to a hundred kilometers from the Syrian border …
the ECFR says for his part: “the dissemination by Wikileaks emails AKP (Party of justice and development in power in Turkey since 2002) and the fact that several major US newspapers have focused on the excessive response to Erdogan after the coup, do that nourish the idea that the coup leaders were supported by outside powers. “
– Gülen: network strong presence in justice, police, secret services
Finally, the European Council on Foreign Relations reiterates that “Erdogan that today demonizes Gülenistes was under the AKP regime that the group has become a major force in the state. “Adding” for much of the past decade, Gülenistes brought to the AKP “human resources” needed at the time of purging company Kemalist, secular and pure hard and Alawites in the army and the bureaucracy. “
The ECFR also states that” the AKP-Gülen coalition seized the opportunity of high-profile trials between 2009 and 2013 “to” purge the Turkish armed forces of thousands of soldiers. “It also states:” while the trial reduced the influence of the military in Turkish politics, they also demonstrate the increasing manipulation of the judicial system and have significantly changed the command structure of the army at all levels . “
” The partnership between Gülen and the AK Party has continued to grow despite the fears and recurring criticism that the clandestine nature of the Gülen organization and its concentration within the judiciary, police, intelligence and computer services would present a threat to national security “still continues the European Council on Foreign Relations
Who adds.” from the mid-90s, Turkish officials began worrying about the parallel state that had established the Gülenistes. But it was not until 2014 that the discord between the AKP and the Gülenistes burst into the open, lorsqu’Erdogan regarded as treason to corruption investigation conducted against some of his relatives. Thus, Erdogan has repeatedly oust his former allies. The officers now blamed for the coup attempt had mostly been promoted to replace the lay officers fired during the partnership period between the AKP and Gülen. “
Elisabeth Studer – August 20, 2016 – www.leblogfinance.com
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